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Ders Notları

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Öğretim Üyesi (Üyeleri): Arş. Gör. Dr. Can Apaydın Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Özgür Özaydın Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Muhammet Daştan *

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Yıl: 2025, Dönem: Güz
ECO231, Main Economic Indicators (mufredatId:5151, dersId: 21694, programId: 4837)
Ders Kitabı / Malzemesi / Önerilen Kaynaklar

The Economist Guide to Economic Indicators: Making Sense of Economics: The Economist; Richard Yamarone (2017), The Economic Indicator Handbook: How to Evaluate Economic Trends to Maximize Profits and Minimize Losses, Wiley.; Bernard Baumohl (2012, 3rd ed.). The Secrets of Economic Indicators: Hidden Clues to Future Economic Trends and Investment Opportunities. FT Press / Pearson; Simon Constable & Robert E. Wright (2011). The WSJ Guide to the 50 Economic Indicators That Really Matter. Harper Business; OECD – Main Economic Indicators; IMF – World Economic Outlook; World Bank – World Development Indicators (WDI).

Dersin İçeriği

Definition and classification of economic indicators; National income statistics: GDP, GNI – output, expenditure, and income approaches; Inflation and price indicators: CPI, PPI, core inflation, GDP deflator; Employment and labor market indicators: unemployment rate, participation, wages; Fiscal indicators: government revenues, expenditures, deficits, public debt; External sector: trade balance, current account, foreign investment, and reserves; Monetary and financial indicators: interest rates, exchange rates, money supply; Business and consumer sentiment: leading and lagging indicators; Reliability and limitations of data sources; Cross-country comparisons and global economic trends.

Dersin Amacı

The aim of this course is to equip students with the analytical tools to interpret and evaluate key macroeconomic indicators used to assess the performance and direction of national and global economies. Students will learn how to access, understand, and critically analyze economic data such as GDP, inflation, unemployment, trade balances, and fiscal and monetary statistics. The course emphasizes both theoretical foundations and real-world applications, aiming to develop students’ ability to use data in informed economic decision-making and policy evaluation.

Haftalık Ders İçeriği

Hafta Teorik Uygulama Laboratuar Ders Notları
1 Introduction to Economic Indicators: Definitions, classifications, uses; main data sources (national statistical offices, central banks, IMF, OECD, World Bank, Eurostat)
2 National Income Indicators I: GDP, GNI; output, expenditure, and income approaches
3 National Income Indicators II: Real vs. nominal GDP, GDP per capita, growth rates, GDP deflator
4 Price Indicators: CPI, PPI, core inflation, export–import price indexes, commodity price indexes (oil, gold, etc.)
5 Labor Market Indicators I: Unemployment rate, employment rate, labor force participation rate
6 Labor Market Indicators II: Youth unemployment, long-term unemployment, wage indicators, productivity, unit labor costs
7 Foreign Trade Indicators I: Exports, imports, trade balance, export-import coverage ratio
8 Foreign Trade Indicators II: Balance of payments, current account, capital flows, exchange rates
9 Midterm Exam
10 Fiscal Indicators: Public expenditures, tax revenues (direct–indirect), budget balance, public debt (domestic and external)
11 Banking and Monetary Indicators: Money supply (M1, M2, M3), interest rates (policy rate, short- and long-term), bank lending (consumer–business loans), deposits, central bank reserves and policy instruments
12 Financial Market Indicators: Stock market indexes, bond yields, risk premia (CDS), capital market indicators
13 Confidence Indicators: Consumer confidence index, business confidence index, PMI, expectation surveys
14 Interpretation of Indicators: Data revisions, limitations, cross-country comparisons, policy applications
15 Final Review and Application: Applied analysis of economic indicators with selected country cases